In a Tufts CSDD analysis of nearly 16,000 sites, 11% of sites in a typical trial enrolled no patients and 37% under-enrolled (Tufts CSDD via Fierce Biotech). A 2022 Tufts CSDD survey found that 76% of protocols have at least one amendment (Tech Funding News, citing Tufts CSDD). Each of those changes moves the financial forecast.
Senior management and sponsors rarely see those changes as they happen. Enrollment is tracked by operations, spend by finance and change orders by vendor management, and each is reported on its own schedule. By the time the numbers reach a leadership review or a sponsor meeting, they describe last month. Forecasting enrollment, spend and change orders together, from live study data, gives both audiences the same picture, earlier.
|
Forecast |
What it shows |
Why leadership and sponsors need it |
|---|---|---|
|
Patient enrollment |
Expected enrollment by site, region and month, from actual pace |
Shows whether timelines are at risk |
|
Financial |
Projected spend, earned, invoiced and paid, by study and portfolio |
Shows where budgets will land |
|
Change orders |
Whether a change order is needed, how much, and where |
Shows cost changes before they are agreed |
These are not three separate questions. Enrollment drives visits, visits drive spend, and amendments change both. A forecast that links them shows the knock-on effect of any change.
For CROs and service providers, the sponsor is the audience. ICH E6(R3) Annex 1, section 3.6.8 states that sponsors should have access to service providers' performance metrics for selection and oversight (ICH GCP, E6(R3) Section 3). In practice, sponsors expect:
Cloudbyz Clinical Trial Financial Management (CTFM) is built natively on Salesforce on the same platform as Cloudbyz CTMS and EDC, so enrollment, visits, milestones, budgets and payments share one data model. The CTFM forecasting module uses actual study progress to forecast patient enrollment and spend, and models scenarios to show whether a change order is needed, how much, and which regions and sites are affected, then tracks spend against it. The Financial Navigator, an Agentforce agent, lets leaders ask questions such as where a study's spend stands or which invoices are ageing, in plain language. It is read-only and never changes records.
Book a demo or visit cloudbyz.com.